Influence of Climate Change on the Flood Disasters in Bursa, Turkey

Basit Öğe Kaydı
dc.authoridhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-5681en_US
dc.contributor.authorBalov, Mustafa Nuri
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-07T11:13:08Z
dc.date.available2021-03-07T11:13:08Z
dc.date.issued2020en_US
dc.departmentMühendislik ve Mimarlık Fakültesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe recent increase in the frequency and intensity of the floods resulted from huge precipitation events in Bursa Province, Turkey, is the main motivation of this study. For this purpose, the daily precipitation values from the historical data recorded between 1971 and 2000 together with the projected data of the NorESM1-M general circulation model under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios between 2031 and 2100 were used to calculate eight extreme precipitation events. The Spearman's rho and the Mann-Kendall trend tests were used to detect the trend in the indices. The results of the trend tests showed that any change is not expected in the total amount of the yearly precipitation amount, whereas the occurrence of the intense and short duration precipitation events is expected to be more probable by the end of the current century, compared to the last 30 years of the previous century. The positive significant trends were detected in some indices. However, the magnitude of the change in the climatic parameters and the increase in the number of extreme precipitation events cannot solely explain the increase in the number of destroying flood events in the province. Other parameters such as the dramatic increase in urbanization as a result of rapid population growth during the past years (since 1960) may have a more prominent effect on the increase of the flood risk in the province which is in need of comprehensive modeling and investigation.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.19072/ijet.809818en_US
dc.identifier.endpage68en_US
dc.identifier.issn2149-0104
dc.identifier.issn2149-5262
dc.identifier.issue4en_US
dc.identifier.startpage61en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11363/2667
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/
dc.identifier.volume6en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherİstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Yayınları / Istanbul Gelisim University Pressen_US
dc.relation.ispartofInternational Journal of Engineering Technologiesen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/*
dc.subjectClimate Changeen_US
dc.subjectTrend Analysisen_US
dc.subjectExtreme Precipitationen_US
dc.subjectTrend analysesen_US
dc.subjectGCMen_US
dc.subjectBursaen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.titleInfluence of Climate Change on the Flood Disasters in Bursa, Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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IJET Vol. 6, Issue 4, December 2020