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Öğe ARIMA Model Estimation Based on Genetic Algorithm for COVID-19 Mortality Rates(World Scientific Publ Co Pte Ltd, 2021) Deif, Mohanad A.; Solyman, Ahmed A. A.; Hammam, Rania E.This paper presents a forecasting model for the mortality rates of COVID-19 in six of the top most affected countries depending on the hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (GA-ARIMA). It was aimed to develop an advanced and reliable predicting model that provides future forecasts of possible confirmed cases and mortality rates (Total Deaths per 1 million Population of COVID-19) that could help the public health authorities to develop plans required to resolve the crisis of the pandemic threat in a timely and efficient manner. The study focused on predicting the mortality rates of COVID-19 because the mortality rate determines the prevalence of highly contagious diseases. The Genetic algorithm (GA) has the capability of improving the forecasting performance of the ARIMA model by optimizing the ARIMA model parameters. The findings of this study revealed the high prediction accuracy of the proposed (GA-ARIMA) model. Moreover, it has provided better and consistent predictions compared to the traditional ARIMA model and can be a reliable method in predicting expected death rates as well as confirmed cases of COVID-19. Hence, it was concluded that combining ARIMA with GA is further accurate than ARIMA alone and GA can be an alternative to find the parameters and model orders for the ARIMA model.Öğe A deep bidirectional recurrent neural network for identification of SARS-CoV-2 from viral genome sequences(AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS, PO BOX 2604, SPRINGFIELD, MO 65801-2604, 2021) Deif, Mohanad A.; Solyman, Ahmad Amin Ahmad; Kamarposhti, Mehrdad Ahmadi; Band, Shahab S.; Hammam, Rania E.In this work, Deep Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Networks (BRNNs) models were implemented based on both Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) cells in order to distinguish between genome sequence of SARS-CoV-2 and other Corona Virus strains such as SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, Common Cold and other Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) viruses. An investigation of the hyper-parameters including the optimizer type and the number of unit cells, was also performed to attain the best performance of the BRNN models. Results showed that the GRU BRNNs model was able to discriminate between SARS-CoV-2 and other classes of viruses with a higher overall classification accuracy of 96.8% as compared to that of the LSTM BRNNs model having a 95.8% overall classification accuracy. The best hyperparameters producing the highest performance for both models was obtained when applying the SGD optimizer and an optimum number of unit cells of 80 in both models. This study proved that the proposed GRU BRNN model has a better classification ability for SARS-CoV-2 thus providing an efficient tool to help in containing the disease and achieving better clinical decisions with high precision.Öğe Design of Biodegradable Mg Alloy for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair (AAAR) Using ANFIS Regression Model(IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141, 2022) Hammam, Rania E.; Solyman, Ahmad Amin Ahmad; Alsharif, Mohammed H.; Uthansakul, Peerapong; Deif, Mohanad A.ABSTRACT Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is among the most widespread and dangerous diseases that may cause death. Recently, Endovascular Aneurysm Repair outperformed open aortic surgery, since it is a safe and reliable technique where a stent graft system is placed within the aortic aneurysm. It was aimed to design an Mg biodegradable alloy with bio-friendly alloying elements that enhance the corrosion resistance and mechanical properties of the alloy for the design of stents for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) repair. Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) was proposed for the design of the Mg alloy and compared to other traditional machine learning regression models (Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Gradient Boosting (GB). The dataset utilized in this work consisted of 600 samples of Mg alloys that were collected from the mat web database and additional papers from Google Scholar. The results revealed the superior prediction capability of the ANFIS model since it attained maximum R 2 scores of 0.926, 0.958, and 0.988 for the prediction of UTS, YS, and Ductility respectively. Furthermore, the ANFIS model was capable of designing an Mg biodegradable alloy having a UTS, YS, and Ductility of 346.148 Mpa, 230.8 Mpa, and 15.4% respectively which are excellent mechanical properties satisfying vascular stents requirements The ANFIS model can be further applied to speed up the design of other alloys in the future for various medical applications, reducing the time, cost, and effort of large searching space.Öğe Gradient Boosting Machine Based on PSO for prediction of Leukemia after a Breast Cancer Diagnosis(Insight Society, 2021) Deif, Mohanad A.; Hammam, Rania E.; Solyman, Ahmed A. A.The purpose of this study is to develop an accurate risk predictive model for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) after an early diagnosis of Breast Cancer (BC). Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) classification algorithm has been applied to the SEER breast cancer dataset for females diagnosed with BC from 2010 to 2016. A practical Swarm optimizer (PSO) was utilized to optimize the GBM algorithm's hyperparameters to find the SEER dataset's best attributes. Nine attributes were carefully selected to study the growth of CML after a lag time of 6 months following BC's diagnosis. The results revealed that the predictive model could classify patients with breast cancer only and patients with breast cancer with Leukemia by an achieved Accuracy, Sensitivity, and Specificity rates of 98.5 %, 99 %, 97.85 %, respectively. To verify the performance of the proposed algorithm, the accuracy of the suggested GBM classifier model was compared with another state-of-the-art model classifiers KNN (k-Nearest Neighbor), SVM (Support Vector Machine), and RF (Random Forest), which are commonly applied algorithms in most of the existing literature. The results also proved the superior ability of the implemented GBM model Classifier in the classification of breast cancer disease and prediction of patients having Leukemia developed after having breast cancer. These results are promising as they show the integral role of the GBM classifier to classify and predict the tumor with high accuracy and efficiency, which will further help in better cancer diagnosis and treatment of the disease. © 2021, IJASEIT. All rights reserved.Öğe Prediction of Wear Rates of UHMWPE Bearing in Hip Joint Prosthesis with Support Vector Model and Grey Wolf Optimization(Hindawi Limited, 2022) Hammam, Rania E.; Attar, Hani; Amer, Ayman; Issa, Haitham; Vourganas, Ioannis; Solyman, Ahmed; Venu, P.One of the greatest challenges in joint arthroplasty is to enhance the wear resistance of ultrahigh molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE), which is one of the most successful polymers as acetabular bearings for total hip joint prosthesis. In order to improve UHMWPE wear rates, it is necessary to develop efficient methods to predict its wear rates in various conditions and therefore help in improving its wear resistance, mechanical properties, and increasing its life span inside the body. This article presents a support vector machine using a grey wolf optimizer (SVM-GWO) hybrid regression model to predict the wear rates of UHMWPE based on published polyethylene data from pin on disc (PoD) wear experiments typically performed in the field of prosthetic hip implants. The dataset was an aggregate of 29 different PoD UHMWPE datasets collected from Google Scholar and PubMed databases, and it consisted of 129 data points. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values were used to interpret the presented model to identify the most important and decisive parameters that affect the wear rates of UHMWPE and, therefore, predict its wear behavior inside the body under different conditions. The results revealed that radiation doses had the highest impact on the model's prediction, where high values of radiation doses had a negative impact on the model output. The pronounced effect of irradiation doses and surface roughness on the wear rates of polyethylene was clear in the results when average disc surface roughness Ra values were below 0.05 ?m, and irradiation doses were above 95 kGy produced 0 mg/MC wear rate. The proposed model proved to be a reliable and robust model for the prediction of wear rates and prioritizing factors that most significantly affect its wear rates. The proposed model can help material engineers to further design polyethylene acetabular linings via improving the wear resistance and minimizing the necessity for wear experiments. © 2022 Rania E. Hammam et al.
